Champions League · League phase · Matchday 8

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
Real Madrid
1 · Shakhtar Donetsk16.1%
X · Draw20.0%
2 · Real Madrid63.9%

Forecast updated

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
0.96 – 2.11model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
59.2%Under 40.8%
Both teams score
54.2%No 45.8%

Most likely scores

0–210.4%
1–29.9%
0–19.8%
1–19.4%
0–37.3%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Shakhtar DonetskUkraine0.60×1.21×
Real MadridLa Liga1.34×0.94×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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