Championship · independent league model

Championship Predictions, Results and Tables

Updated 14 Oct 2026, 17:08 UTC · regular-season results and model estimates

29 Championship forecasts are published for the next 14 days. Each gives home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and likely scores. The model is trained separately from the Premier League.

Next Championship predictions

Wed 14 Oct, 19:45

Sheffield United40%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 27%O2.5 48% · BTTS 53%

Model: Sheffield United 40.2%

Wed 14 Oct, 19:45

Norwich City35%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 23%O2.5 66% · BTTS 67%

Model: Southampton 41.9%

Wed 14 Oct, 19:45

Queens Park Rangers41%

Derby County32%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 28%O2.5 47% · BTTS 52%

Model: Queens Park Rangers 40.5%

Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Lincoln City25%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 25%O2.5 54% · BTTS 56%

Model: West Ham 50.5%

Fri 16 Oct, 20:00

Wolverhampton23%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 24%O2.5 56% · BTTS 56%

Model: Burnley 53.0%

Sat 17 Oct, 12:30

Lincoln City22%

Latest model forecast · Wed 14 Oct, 18:08

Draw 29%O2.5 36% · BTTS 41%

Model: Millwall 48.8%

All Championship predictions →

Current Championship table

After 115 completed Championship matches in 2026-27, Swansea City lead on 23 points. 2.88 goals per match.

#	Club	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea City	10	7	2	1	16	7	9	23
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	20	14	6	21
3	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20	10	10	17
4	Birmingham City	10	4	5	1	17	11	6	17
5	West Bromwich Albion	10	5	2	3	12	10	2	17
6	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23	12	11	16
7	Stoke City	10	5	1	4	17	16	1	16
8	Blackburn Rovers	10	4	3	3	15	13	2	15
9	Queens Park Rangers	9	3	5	1	11	8	3	14
10	Wolverhampton	9	4	2	3	16	14	2	14
11	Millwall	10	4	2	4	16	16	0	14
12	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	12	14	-2	14
13	Charlton Athletic	10	3	5	2	10	13	-3	14
14	Bolton Wanderers	10	4	1	5	15	18	-3	13
15	Sheffield United	9	3	3	3	12	11	1	12
16	Wrexham	10	2	5	3	11	15	-4	11
17	Lincoln City	9	3	2	4	7	11	-4	11
18	Cardiff City	10	2	4	4	16	15	1	10
19	Norwich City	9	3	0	6	17	19	-2	9
20	Portsmouth	8	2	2	4	9	11	-2	8
21	Burnley	10	1	5	4	15	19	-4	8
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	8	19	-11	8
23	Derby County	9	1	3	5	8	15	-7	6
24	Preston North End	10	1	1	8	8	20	-12	4

Regular-season matches only. Standings are calculated from completed results; reconciled provider positions preserve league tie-breakers. Points use provider adjustments, with source-confirmed sanctions corrected where needed. Results through 13 Oct 2026.

Clubs

Birmingham City: predictions, results and form Blackburn Rovers: predictions, results and form Bolton Wanderers: predictions, results and form Bristol City: predictions, results and form Burnley: predictions, results and form Cardiff City: predictions, results and form Charlton Athletic: predictions, results and form Coventry City: predictions, results and form Derby County: predictions, results and form Hull City: predictions, results and form Ipswich: predictions, results and form Leicester: predictions, results and form Lincoln City: predictions, results and form Middlesbrough: predictions, results and form Millwall: predictions, results and form Norwich City: predictions, results and form Oxford United: predictions, results and form Portsmouth: predictions, results and form Preston North End: predictions, results and form Queens Park Rangers: predictions, results and form Sheffield United: predictions, results and form Sheffield Wednesday: predictions, results and form Southampton: predictions, results and form Stoke City: predictions, results and form Swansea City: predictions, results and form Watford: predictions, results and form West Bromwich Albion: predictions, results and form West Ham: predictions, results and form Wolverhampton: predictions, results and form Wrexham: predictions, results and form

League research

Does Home Advantage Still Matter in the Championship?Championship Goals: Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score

Questions about the Championship model

How are Championship predictions calculated?

An independent Dixon–Coles model learns Championship attack, defence and home advantage from completed league results since 2020-21. It produces home, draw, away and scoreline probabilities.

Are live odds or confirmed lineups included?

No live bookmaker prices are collected. This league does not have a verified injury or lineup feed in the model. Playoffs are excluded from these regular-season statistics.

Are the predictions guaranteed?

No. Probabilities describe uncertainty. Historical validation and a fixed pre-match record are published separately so the forecasts can be checked against results.

Sources and limitations

Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.

No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Championship. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.