Champions League · League phase · Matchday 7

Aston Villa vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Aston Villa
vs
Borussia Dortmund
1 · Aston Villa50.6%
X · Draw22.6%
2 · Borussia Dortmund26.9%

Forecast updated

Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
1.87 – 1.31model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
61.6%Under 38.4%
Both teams score
61.8%No 38.2%

Most likely scores

1–110.2%
2–19.5%
1–07.8%
2–07.3%
1–26.7%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Aston Villa and Borussia Dortmund compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Aston VillaPremier League1.12×1.01×
Borussia DortmundBundesliga0.99×0.99×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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