Conference League · League phase · Matchday 6

CSKA Sofia vs Thun prediction

CSKA Sofia

vsThu 17 Dec, 20:00 GMT

Thun

Latest model forecast40%23%37%

1 · CSKA Sofia40.2%

X · Draw23.2%

2 · Thun36.7%

Forecast updated Thu 12 Nov, 04:19

Venue: Bulgarska Armiya.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals: 1.67 – 1.59model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals: 63.1%Under 36.9%
Both teams score: 64.5%No 35.5%

Most likely scores

1–110.2%

2–18.5%

1–28.1%

2–26.8%

1–06.4%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do CSKA Sofia and Thun compare?

Club	League	Attack	Goals conceded
CSKA Sofia	Bulgaria	0.54×	2.10×
Thun	Swiss Super League	0.68×	2.18×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

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Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.