Conference League · League phase · Matchday 5

Thun vs Gent prediction

Thun

vsThu 10 Dec, 20:00 GMT

Gent

Latest model forecast34%25%42%

1 · Thun33.7%

X · Draw24.9%

2 · Gent41.5%

Forecast updated Thu 12 Nov, 04:19

Venue: Arena Thun.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.52model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals: 54.5%Under 45.5%
Both teams score: 57.7%No 42.3%

Most likely scores

1–111.7%

1–28.9%

0–18.7%

2–17.8%

1–07.7%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Thun and Gent compare?

Club	League	Attack	Goals conceded
Thun	Swiss Super League	0.68×	2.18×
Gent	Belgian Pro League	0.63×	1.39×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

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Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.