Europa League · League phase · Matchday 5

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Lech Poznan prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise
vs
Lech Poznan
1 · Union Saint-Gilloise69.7%
X · Draw18.3%
2 · Lech Poznan12.0%

Forecast updated

Venue: Den Dreef.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.21 – 0.80model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
57.9%Under 42.1%
Both teams score
48.9%No 51.1%

Most likely scores

2–012.1%
1–010.9%
2–19.6%
3–08.9%
1–18.7%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Union Saint-Gilloise and Lech Poznan compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Union Saint-GilloiseBelgian Pro League0.84×0.95×
Lech PoznanEkstraklasa0.70×1.84×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Europa League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.