Europa League · League phase · Matchday 8

Benfica vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Benfica
vs
AZ Alkmaar
1 · Benfica64.6%
X · Draw20.0%
2 · AZ Alkmaar15.4%

Forecast updated

Venue: Estádio do SL Benfica.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.10 – 0.92model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%Under 42.0%
Both teams score
52.6%No 47.4%

Most likely scores

2–010.8%
1–010.3%
2–19.9%
1–19.4%
3–07.6%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Benfica and AZ Alkmaar compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
BenficaPrimeira Liga1.04×1.04×
AZ AlkmaarEredivisie0.74×1.40×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Europa League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.