Serie A · independent league model

Serie A 2006-07 Results and Season Statistics

Updated 15 Oct 2026, 03:52 UTC · regular-season results and model estimates

Serie A 2006-07 finished with 380 completed matches and 969 goals, 2.55 per match. Home teams won 45.5%, 30.0% were drawn and away teams won 24.5%.

Season rates

Measure	Value
Completed matches	380
Goals per match	2.55
Home wins	45.5%
Draws	30.0%
Away wins	24.5%
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%
Both teams scored	50.5%
At least one clean sheet	49.5%

Club records in 2006-07

Club	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Home W-D-L	Away W-D-L
AC Milan	38	19	12	7	57	36	21	12-3-4	7-9-3
Ascoli	38	5	12	21	36	67	-31	3-8-8	2-4-13
Atalanta	38	12	14	12	56	54	2	8-9-2	4-5-10
Cagliari	38	9	13	16	35	46	-11	7-7-5	2-6-11
Catania	38	10	11	17	46	68	-22	7-6-6	3-5-11
Chievo	38	9	12	17	38	48	-10	7-6-6	2-6-11
Empoli	38	14	12	12	42	43	-1	10-7-2	4-5-10
Fiorentina	38	21	10	7	62	31	31	15-2-2	6-8-5
Inter Milan	38	30	7	1	80	34	46	15-3-1	15-4-0
Lazio	38	18	11	9	59	33	26	10-6-3	8-5-6
Livorno	38	10	13	15	41	54	-13	8-8-3	2-5-12
Messina	38	5	11	22	37	69	-32	5-7-7	0-4-15
Palermo	38	16	10	12	58	51	7	9-3-7	7-7-5
Parma	38	10	12	16	41	56	-15	9-4-6	1-8-10
Reggina	38	12	15	11	52	50	2	7-8-4	5-7-7
Roma	38	22	9	7	74	34	40	13-4-2	9-5-5
Sampdoria	38	13	10	15	44	48	-4	9-7-3	4-3-12
Siena	38	9	14	15	35	45	-10	5-8-6	4-6-9
Torino	38	10	10	18	27	47	-20	6-4-9	4-6-9
Udinese	38	12	10	16	49	55	-6	8-4-7	4-6-9

Clubs are listed alphabetically, not ranked. Final positions depend on official points adjustments that this results history does not carry, and in Spain and Italy on head-to-head tie-breakers.

Standout results

Biggest winning margins

19 Nov 2006: Roma 7–0 Catania12 Nov 2006: Lazio 5–0 Udinese24 Sept 2006: Parma 0–4 Roma30 Sept 2006: Torino 0–4 Lazio17 Dec 2006: Roma 4–0 Palermo

Highest-scoring matches

20 Sept 2006: Palermo 5–3 Catania10 Sept 2006: Palermo 4–3 Reggina24 Sept 2006: Inter Milan 4–3 Chievo28 Oct 2006: AC Milan 3–4 Inter Milan19 Nov 2006: Roma 7–0 Catania

Every 2006-07 result

Date	Home	Score	Away
9 Sept 2006	Fiorentina	2–3	Inter Milan
9 Sept 2006	Roma	2–0	Livorno
10 Sept 2006	AC Milan	2–1	Lazio
10 Sept 2006	Atalanta	3–1	Ascoli
10 Sept 2006	Cagliari	0–1	Catania
10 Sept 2006	Chievo	1–2	Siena
10 Sept 2006	Messina	1–0	Udinese
10 Sept 2006	Palermo	4–3	Reggina
10 Sept 2006	Torino	1–1	Parma
10 Sept 2006	Sampdoria	1–2	Empoli
16 Sept 2006	Inter Milan	1–1	Sampdoria
16 Sept 2006	Reggina	2–1	Cagliari
17 Sept 2006	Ascoli	1–1	Messina
17 Sept 2006	Catania	0–0	Atalanta
17 Sept 2006	Empoli	1–1	Chievo
17 Sept 2006	Livorno	1–0	Fiorentina
17 Sept 2006	Parma	0–2	AC Milan
17 Sept 2006	Siena	1–3	Roma
17 Sept 2006	Lazio	1–2	Palermo
17 Sept 2006	Udinese	2–0	Torino
20 Sept 2006	AC Milan	1–0	Ascoli
20 Sept 2006	Fiorentina	1–0	Parma
20 Sept 2006	Roma	0–1	Inter Milan
20 Sept 2006	Atalanta	0–0	Empoli
20 Sept 2006	Cagliari	2–2	Livorno
20 Sept 2006	Chievo	0–1	Lazio
20 Sept 2006	Messina	2–0	Reggina
20 Sept 2006	Palermo	5–3	Catania
20 Sept 2006	Torino	1–2	Siena
20 Sept 2006	Sampdoria	3–3	Udinese
23 Sept 2006	Catania	2–2	Messina
23 Sept 2006	Livorno	0–0	AC Milan
24 Sept 2006	Ascoli	1–1	Sampdoria
24 Sept 2006	Empoli	2–0	Palermo
24 Sept 2006	Inter Milan	4–3	Chievo
24 Sept 2006	Parma	0–4	Roma
24 Sept 2006	Reggina	1–1	Torino
24 Sept 2006	Siena	0–0	Cagliari
24 Sept 2006	Lazio	1–0	Atalanta
24 Sept 2006	Udinese	1–0	Fiorentina
30 Sept 2006	Atalanta	1–1	Reggina
30 Sept 2006	Torino	0–4	Lazio
1 Oct 2006	AC Milan	0–0	Siena
1 Oct 2006	Fiorentina	3–0	Catania
1 Oct 2006	Roma	1–0	Empoli
1 Oct 2006	Cagliari	1–1	Inter Milan
1 Oct 2006	Chievo	0–1	Palermo
1 Oct 2006	Messina	0–1	Livorno
1 Oct 2006	Sampdoria	3–2	Parma
1 Oct 2006	Udinese	0–0	Ascoli
14 Oct 2006	Siena	3–1	Messina
14 Oct 2006	Sampdoria	1–1	AC Milan
15 Oct 2006	Ascoli	0–2	Livorno
15 Oct 2006	Empoli	1–2	Fiorentina
15 Oct 2006	Inter Milan	2–1	Catania
15 Oct 2006	Palermo	2–3	Atalanta
15 Oct 2006	Parma	0–3	Udinese
15 Oct 2006	Reggina	1–0	Roma
15 Oct 2006	Lazio	0–0	Cagliari
15 Oct 2006	Torino	1–0	Chievo
21 Oct 2006	Cagliari	0–0	Torino
21 Oct 2006	Messina	2–2	Empoli
22 Oct 2006	AC Milan	0–2	Palermo
22 Oct 2006	Fiorentina	3–0	Reggina
22 Oct 2006	Roma	1–1	Chievo
22 Oct 2006	Atalanta	3–2	Sampdoria
22 Oct 2006	Catania	3–1	Lazio
22 Oct 2006	Livorno	0–0	Siena
22 Oct 2006	Parma	1–0	Ascoli
22 Oct 2006	Udinese	0–0	Inter Milan
25 Oct 2006	Roma	2–2	Ascoli
25 Oct 2006	Atalanta	3–3	Cagliari
25 Oct 2006	Chievo	0–1	AC Milan
25 Oct 2006	Empoli	1–1	Udinese
25 Oct 2006	Inter Milan	4–1	Livorno
25 Oct 2006	Palermo	2–1	Messina
25 Oct 2006	Reggina	3–2	Parma
25 Oct 2006	Siena	1–1	Catania
25 Oct 2006	Torino	0–1	Fiorentina
25 Oct 2006	Sampdoria	2–0	Lazio
28 Oct 2006	AC Milan	3–4	Inter Milan
28 Oct 2006	Udinese	0–1	Roma
29 Oct 2006	Fiorentina	2–3	Palermo
29 Oct 2006	Ascoli	0–1	Siena
29 Oct 2006	Cagliari	1–0	Sampdoria
29 Oct 2006	Catania	1–1	Torino
29 Oct 2006	Livorno	0–0	Empoli
29 Oct 2006	Messina	2–1	Chievo
29 Oct 2006	Parma	3–1	Atalanta
29 Oct 2006	Lazio	0–0	Reggina
4 Nov 2006	Reggina	0–1	Catania
4 Nov 2006	Siena	2–2	Parma
5 Nov 2006	Roma	3–1	Fiorentina
5 Nov 2006	Atalanta	2–0	AC Milan
5 Nov 2006	Chievo	0–0	Cagliari
5 Nov 2006	Empoli	1–1	Lazio
5 Nov 2006	Inter Milan	2–0	Ascoli
5 Nov 2006	Livorno	1–0	Udinese
5 Nov 2006	Palermo	2–0	Sampdoria
5 Nov 2006	Torino	1–1	Messina
11 Nov 2006	AC Milan	1–2	Roma
11 Nov 2006	Fiorentina	3–1	Atalanta
12 Nov 2006	Ascoli	0–1	Empoli
12 Nov 2006	Catania	3–2	Livorno
12 Nov 2006	Messina	2–2	Cagliari
12 Nov 2006	Palermo	3–0	Torino
12 Nov 2006	Parma	1–2	Inter Milan
12 Nov 2006	Siena	0–1	Reggina
12 Nov 2006	Lazio	5–0	Udinese
12 Nov 2006	Sampdoria	3–0	Chievo
18 Nov 2006	Cagliari	1–0	Palermo
18 Nov 2006	Empoli	0–0	AC Milan
19 Nov 2006	Roma	7–0	Catania
19 Nov 2006	Ascoli	1–1	Fiorentina
19 Nov 2006	Chievo	2–2	Atalanta
19 Nov 2006	Inter Milan	1–0	Reggina
19 Nov 2006	Livorno	3–0	Parma
19 Nov 2006	Messina	1–4	Lazio
19 Nov 2006	Torino	1–0	Sampdoria
19 Nov 2006	Udinese	3–0	Siena
25 Nov 2006	AC Milan	1–0	Messina
25 Nov 2006	Chievo	2–0	Udinese
26 Nov 2006	Atalanta	1–2	Torino
26 Nov 2006	Catania	2–0	Parma
26 Nov 2006	Empoli	1–0	Cagliari
26 Nov 2006	Palermo	1–2	Inter Milan
26 Nov 2006	Reggina	2–2	Livorno
26 Nov 2006	Siena	1–1	Fiorentina
26 Nov 2006	Lazio	3–1	Ascoli
26 Nov 2006	Sampdoria	2–4	Roma
2 Dec 2006	Roma	2–1	Atalanta
2 Dec 2006	Inter Milan	2–0	Siena
3 Dec 2006	Fiorentina	1–0	Lazio
3 Dec 2006	Ascoli	2–2	Catania
3 Dec 2006	Cagliari	2–2	AC Milan
3 Dec 2006	Livorno	0–2	Chievo
3 Dec 2006	Messina	0–2	Sampdoria
3 Dec 2006	Parma	0–0	Palermo
3 Dec 2006	Torino	1–0	Empoli
3 Dec 2006	Udinese	1–1	Reggina
9 Dec 2006	Palermo	3–0	Livorno
9 Dec 2006	Reggina	2–1	Ascoli
10 Dec 2006	AC Milan	0–0	Torino
10 Dec 2006	Atalanta	3–2	Messina
10 Dec 2006	Cagliari	0–0	Parma
10 Dec 2006	Catania	1–0	Udinese
10 Dec 2006	Chievo	0–1	Fiorentina
10 Dec 2006	Empoli	0–3	Inter Milan
10 Dec 2006	Lazio	3–0	Roma
10 Dec 2006	Sampdoria	0–0	Siena
16 Dec 2006	Fiorentina	2–2	AC Milan
16 Dec 2006	Udinese	3–1	Cagliari
17 Dec 2006	Roma	4–0	Palermo
17 Dec 2006	Ascoli	0–2	Torino
17 Dec 2006	Inter Milan	2–0	Messina
17 Dec 2006	Livorno	1–1	Lazio
17 Dec 2006	Parma	2–2	Chievo
17 Dec 2006	Reggina	0–1	Sampdoria
17 Dec 2006	Siena	1–1	Atalanta
20 Dec 2006	AC Milan	3–0	Catania
20 Dec 2006	Atalanta	1–2	Udinese
20 Dec 2006	Cagliari	0–2	Fiorentina
20 Dec 2006	Chievo	3–2	Reggina
20 Dec 2006	Empoli	1–0	Siena
20 Dec 2006	Messina	1–1	Parma
20 Dec 2006	Palermo	4–0	Ascoli
20 Dec 2006	Lazio	0–2	Inter Milan
20 Dec 2006	Torino	1–2	Roma
20 Dec 2006	Sampdoria	4–1	Livorno
23 Dec 2006	Fiorentina	4–0	Messina
23 Dec 2006	Roma	2–0	Cagliari
23 Dec 2006	Ascoli	3–0	Chievo
23 Dec 2006	Catania	4–2	Sampdoria
23 Dec 2006	Inter Milan	2–1	Atalanta
23 Dec 2006	Livorno	1–1	Torino
23 Dec 2006	Parma	1–3	Lazio
23 Dec 2006	Reggina	4–1	Empoli
23 Dec 2006	Siena	1–1	Palermo
23 Dec 2006	Udinese	0–3	AC Milan
13 Jan 2007	Empoli	2–0	Parma
13 Jan 2007	Torino	1–3	Inter Milan
14 Jan 2007	AC Milan	3–1	Reggina
14 Jan 2007	Atalanta	5–1	Livorno
14 Jan 2007	Cagliari	1–0	Ascoli
14 Jan 2007	Chievo	2–1	Catania
14 Jan 2007	Messina	1–1	Roma
14 Jan 2007	Palermo	2–0	Udinese
14 Jan 2007	Lazio	1–1	Siena
14 Jan 2007	Sampdoria	0–0	Fiorentina
20 Jan 2007	Ascoli	1–3	Atalanta
20 Jan 2007	Reggina	0–0	Palermo
21 Jan 2007	Catania	0–1	Cagliari
21 Jan 2007	Empoli	2–0	Sampdoria
21 Jan 2007	Inter Milan	3–1	Fiorentina
21 Jan 2007	Livorno	1–1	Roma
21 Jan 2007	Parma	1–0	Torino
21 Jan 2007	Siena	2–1	Chievo
21 Jan 2007	Lazio	0–0	AC Milan
21 Jan 2007	Udinese	1–0	Messina
24 Jan 2007	Catania	2–1	Empoli
27 Jan 2007	Palermo	0–3	Lazio
27 Jan 2007	Torino	2–3	Udinese
28 Jan 2007	AC Milan	1–0	Parma
28 Jan 2007	Fiorentina	2–1	Livorno
28 Jan 2007	Roma	1–0	Siena
28 Jan 2007	Atalanta	1–1	Catania
28 Jan 2007	Cagliari	0–2	Reggina
28 Jan 2007	Chievo	0–0	Empoli
28 Jan 2007	Messina	1–2	Ascoli
28 Jan 2007	Sampdoria	0–2	Inter Milan
2 Feb 2007	Catania	1–2	Palermo
11 Feb 2007	AC Milan	2–1	Livorno
11 Feb 2007	Fiorentina	2–0	Udinese
11 Feb 2007	Roma	3–0	Parma
11 Feb 2007	Atalanta	0–0	Lazio
11 Feb 2007	Cagliari	2–2	Siena
11 Feb 2007	Chievo	0–2	Inter Milan
11 Feb 2007	Messina	1–1	Catania
11 Feb 2007	Palermo	0–1	Empoli
11 Feb 2007	Torino	1–2	Reggina
11 Feb 2007	Sampdoria	2–0	Ascoli
17 Feb 2007	Empoli	1–0	Roma
17 Feb 2007	Inter Milan	1–0	Cagliari
17 Feb 2007	Siena	3–4	AC Milan
18 Feb 2007	Ascoli	2–2	Udinese
18 Feb 2007	Catania	0–1	Fiorentina
18 Feb 2007	Livorno	2–1	Messina
18 Feb 2007	Palermo	1–1	Chievo
18 Feb 2007	Parma	0–1	Sampdoria
18 Feb 2007	Reggina	1–1	Atalanta
18 Feb 2007	Lazio	2–0	Torino
24 Feb 2007	Atalanta	1–1	Palermo
24 Feb 2007	Chievo	3–0	Torino
25 Feb 2007	AC Milan	1–0	Sampdoria
25 Feb 2007	Fiorentina	2–0	Empoli
25 Feb 2007	Roma	3–0	Reggina
25 Feb 2007	Cagliari	0–2	Lazio
25 Feb 2007	Catania	2–5	Inter Milan
25 Feb 2007	Livorno	0–0	Ascoli
25 Feb 2007	Messina	1–0	Siena
25 Feb 2007	Udinese	3–3	Parma
28 Feb 2007	Ascoli	0–0	Parma
28 Feb 2007	Chievo	2–2	Roma
28 Feb 2007	Empoli	3–1	Messina
28 Feb 2007	Inter Milan	1–1	Udinese
28 Feb 2007	Palermo	0–0	AC Milan
28 Feb 2007	Reggina	1–1	Fiorentina
28 Feb 2007	Siena	0–0	Livorno
28 Feb 2007	Lazio	3–1	Catania
28 Feb 2007	Torino	1–0	Cagliari
28 Feb 2007	Sampdoria	2–1	Atalanta
3 Mar 2007	AC Milan	3–1	Chievo
3 Mar 2007	Ascoli	1–1	Roma
3 Mar 2007	Livorno	1–2	Inter Milan
4 Mar 2007	Fiorentina	5–1	Torino
4 Mar 2007	Cagliari	2–0	Atalanta
4 Mar 2007	Catania	1–1	Siena
4 Mar 2007	Messina	2–0	Palermo
4 Mar 2007	Parma	2–2	Reggina
4 Mar 2007	Lazio	1–0	Sampdoria
4 Mar 2007	Udinese	0–1	Empoli
10 Mar 2007	Sampdoria	1–1	Cagliari
11 Mar 2007	Roma	3–1	Udinese
11 Mar 2007	Atalanta	1–1	Parma
11 Mar 2007	Chievo	1–1	Messina
11 Mar 2007	Empoli	2–2	Livorno
11 Mar 2007	Inter Milan	2–1	AC Milan
11 Mar 2007	Palermo	1–1	Fiorentina
11 Mar 2007	Reggina	2–3	Lazio
11 Mar 2007	Siena	0–1	Ascoli
11 Mar 2007	Torino	1–0	Catania
17 Mar 2007	Sampdoria	1–1	Palermo
18 Mar 2007	AC Milan	1–0	Atalanta
18 Mar 2007	Fiorentina	0–0	Roma
18 Mar 2007	Ascoli	1–2	Inter Milan
18 Mar 2007	Cagliari	0–2	Chievo
18 Mar 2007	Catania	1–4	Reggina
18 Mar 2007	Messina	0–3	Torino
18 Mar 2007	Parma	1–0	Siena
18 Mar 2007	Lazio	3–1	Empoli
18 Mar 2007	Udinese	4–0	Livorno
31 Mar 2007	Roma	1–1	AC Milan
31 Mar 2007	Reggina	0–1	Siena
1 Apr 2007	Atalanta	2–2	Fiorentina
1 Apr 2007	Cagliari	2–0	Messina
1 Apr 2007	Chievo	1–1	Sampdoria
1 Apr 2007	Empoli	4–1	Ascoli
1 Apr 2007	Inter Milan	2–0	Parma
1 Apr 2007	Livorno	4–1	Catania
1 Apr 2007	Torino	0–0	Palermo
1 Apr 2007	Udinese	2–4	Lazio
7 Apr 2007	AC Milan	3–1	Empoli
7 Apr 2007	Fiorentina	4–0	Ascoli
7 Apr 2007	Atalanta	1–0	Chievo
7 Apr 2007	Catania	0–2	Roma
7 Apr 2007	Palermo	1–3	Cagliari
7 Apr 2007	Parma	1–0	Livorno
7 Apr 2007	Reggina	0–0	Inter Milan
7 Apr 2007	Siena	2–2	Udinese
7 Apr 2007	Lazio	1–0	Messina
7 Apr 2007	Sampdoria	1–0	Torino
14 Apr 2007	Cagliari	0–0	Empoli
14 Apr 2007	Udinese	2–1	Chievo
15 Apr 2007	Fiorentina	1–0	Siena
15 Apr 2007	Roma	4–0	Sampdoria
15 Apr 2007	Ascoli	2–2	Lazio
15 Apr 2007	Inter Milan	2–2	Palermo
15 Apr 2007	Livorno	1–1	Reggina
15 Apr 2007	Messina	1–3	AC Milan
15 Apr 2007	Parma	1–1	Catania
15 Apr 2007	Torino	1–2	Atalanta
18 Apr 2007	Ascoli	2–5	AC Milan
18 Apr 2007	Empoli	2–0	Atalanta
18 Apr 2007	Inter Milan	1–3	Roma
18 Apr 2007	Livorno	2–1	Cagliari
18 Apr 2007	Parma	2–0	Fiorentina
18 Apr 2007	Reggina	3–1	Messina
18 Apr 2007	Siena	1–0	Torino
18 Apr 2007	Lazio	0–0	Chievo
18 Apr 2007	Udinese	1–0	Sampdoria
21 Apr 2007	AC Milan	3–1	Cagliari
21 Apr 2007	Sampdoria	3–1	Messina
22 Apr 2007	Atalanta	2–1	Roma
22 Apr 2007	Chievo	2–1	Livorno
22 Apr 2007	Empoli	0–0	Torino
22 Apr 2007	Palermo	3–4	Parma
22 Apr 2007	Reggina	1–1	Udinese
22 Apr 2007	Siena	1–2	Inter Milan
22 Apr 2007	Lazio	0–1	Fiorentina
28 Apr 2007	Fiorentina	1–0	Chievo
28 Apr 2007	Torino	0–1	AC Milan
29 Apr 2007	Roma	0–0	Lazio
29 Apr 2007	Ascoli	2–3	Reggina
29 Apr 2007	Inter Milan	3–1	Empoli
29 Apr 2007	Livorno	1–2	Palermo
29 Apr 2007	Messina	0–0	Atalanta
29 Apr 2007	Parma	2–1	Cagliari
29 Apr 2007	Siena	0–2	Sampdoria
29 Apr 2007	Udinese	0–1	Catania
2 May 2007	Catania	3–3	Ascoli
6 May 2007	AC Milan	0–0	Fiorentina
6 May 2007	Atalanta	3–1	Siena
6 May 2007	Cagliari	2–1	Udinese
6 May 2007	Chievo	1–0	Parma
6 May 2007	Empoli	2–1	Catania
6 May 2007	Messina	0–1	Inter Milan
6 May 2007	Palermo	1–2	Roma
6 May 2007	Lazio	1–0	Livorno
6 May 2007	Torino	1–0	Ascoli
6 May 2007	Sampdoria	0–0	Reggina
13 May 2007	Fiorentina	1–0	Cagliari
13 May 2007	Roma	0–1	Torino
13 May 2007	Ascoli	3–2	Palermo
13 May 2007	Catania	1–1	AC Milan
13 May 2007	Inter Milan	4–3	Lazio
13 May 2007	Livorno	1–0	Sampdoria
13 May 2007	Parma	4–1	Messina
13 May 2007	Reggina	1–1	Chievo
13 May 2007	Siena	2–0	Empoli
13 May 2007	Udinese	2–3	Atalanta
19 May 2007	AC Milan	2–3	Udinese
20 May 2007	Atalanta	1–1	Inter Milan
20 May 2007	Cagliari	3–2	Roma
20 May 2007	Chievo	1–0	Ascoli
20 May 2007	Empoli	3–3	Reggina
20 May 2007	Messina	2–2	Fiorentina
20 May 2007	Palermo	2–1	Siena
20 May 2007	Lazio	0–0	Parma
20 May 2007	Torino	0–0	Livorno
20 May 2007	Sampdoria	1–0	Catania
27 May 2007	Fiorentina	5–1	Sampdoria
27 May 2007	Roma	4–3	Messina
27 May 2007	Ascoli	2–1	Cagliari
27 May 2007	Catania	2–0	Chievo
27 May 2007	Inter Milan	3–0	Torino
27 May 2007	Livorno	4–2	Atalanta
27 May 2007	Parma	3–1	Empoli
27 May 2007	Reggina	2–0	AC Milan
27 May 2007	Siena	2–1	Lazio
27 May 2007	Udinese	1–2	Palermo

Regular-season matches only; playoffs are excluded. Results through 27 May 2007.

More Serie A history

All Serie A seasons Head-to-head records

Sources and limitations

Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2005-06: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.

The source carries exact kickoff times from 2019-20. Earlier seasons give the date only and are read as a 15:00 kickoff in the competition's own timezone, which keeps those results out of training until three hours later.

No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Serie A. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.