Champions League · League phase · Matchday 6

Barcelona vs Manchester City prediction

Barcelona
vs
Manchester City
1 · Barcelona46.1%
X · Draw19.8%
2 · Manchester City34.1%

Forecast updated

Venue: Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona, ES.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.29 – 1.97model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
79.7%Under 20.3%
Both teams score
77.3%No 22.7%

Most likely scores

2–17.3%
2–27.2%
1–16.4%
1–26.3%
3–15.6%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Barcelona and Manchester City compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
BarcelonaLa Liga1.62×1.07×
Manchester CityPremier League1.41×0.84×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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