Champions League · League phase · Matchday 6

Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

1 · Aston Villa37.3%
X · Draw22.3%
2 · Paris Saint-Germain40.4%

Forecast updated

Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
1.71 – 1.78model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
67.7%Under 32.3%
Both teams score
68.1%No 31.9%

Most likely scores

1–19.3%
1–28.3%
2–17.9%
2–27.1%
0–15.4%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Aston Villa and Paris Saint-Germain compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Aston VillaPremier League1.12×1.01×
Paris Saint-GermainLigue 11.35×0.90×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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