Conference League · League phase · Matchday 4

Jablonec vs Lugano prediction

Jablonec

vsThu 26 Nov, 17:45 GMT

Lugano

Latest model forecast42%27%31%

1 · Jablonec41.7%

X · Draw27.4%

2 · Lugano30.9%

Forecast updated Thu 12 Nov, 04:19

Venue: Stadion Strelnice.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.09model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals: 43.2%Under 56.8%
Both teams score: 48.6%No 51.4%

Most likely scores

1–112.9%

1–011.8%

0–19.8%

0–09.0%

2–18.5%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Jablonec and Lugano compare?

Club	League	Attack	Goals conceded
Jablonec	Czech Republic	0.58×	1.58×
Lugano	Swiss Super League	0.62×	1.59×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

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Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.