Europa League · League phase · Matchday 5

Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz prediction

Hoffenheim
vs
Sturm Graz
1 · Hoffenheim59.0%
X · Draw21.6%
2 · Sturm Graz19.4%

Forecast updated

Venue: Rhein-Neckar-Arena.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
1.97 – 1.04model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
57.7%Under 42.3%
Both teams score
55.5%No 44.5%

Most likely scores

1–110.1%
2–19.9%
1–09.8%
2–09.6%
3–16.5%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Hoffenheim and Sturm Graz compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
HoffenheimBundesliga0.84×1.47×
Sturm GrazAustrian Bundesliga0.59×1.63×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Europa League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.