Europa League · League phase · Matchday 5

Sunderland vs Jagiellonia prediction

Sunderland
vs
Jagiellonia
1 · Sunderland65.3%
X · Draw21.3%
2 · Jagiellonia13.5%

Forecast updated

Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
1.90 – 0.72model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
48.6%Under 51.4%
Both teams score
43.7%No 56.3%

Most likely scores

1–013.8%
2–013.1%
1–110.0%
2–19.5%
3–08.3%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Sunderland and Jagiellonia compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
SunderlandPremier League0.69×1.06×
JagielloniaEkstraklasa0.57×1.91×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Europa League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.