Europa League · League phase · Matchday 5
Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Sparta Prague
vs
AZ AlkmaarLatest model forecast33%25%42%
1 · Sparta Prague32.9%
X · Draw25.0%
2 · AZ Alkmaar42.1%
Forecast updated
Goals and likely scores
- Expected goals
- 1.31 – 1.52model, not shot xG
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53.7%Under 46.3%
- Both teams score
- 57.0%No 43.0%
Most likely scores
1–111.8%
0–19.0%
1–28.9%
1–07.8%
2–17.7%
90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.
How do Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar compare?
| Club | League | Attack | Goals conceded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague | Czech Republic | 0.65× | 1.72× |
| AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | 0.74× | 1.40× |
Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.
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