Champions League · League phase · Matchday 6

Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction

Arsenal
vs
Real Madrid
1 · Arsenal60.2%
X · Draw21.2%
2 · Real Madrid18.6%

Forecast updated

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.00 – 1.01model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
58.0%Under 42.0%
Both teams score
55.1%No 44.9%

Most likely scores

1–110.0%
2–110.0%
1–09.8%
2–09.8%
3–16.6%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Arsenal and Real Madrid compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
ArsenalPremier League1.26×0.58×
Real MadridLa Liga1.34×0.94×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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