Champions League · League phase · Matchday 6

PSV vs Atletico Madrid prediction

PSV
vs
Atletico Madrid
1 · PSV41.7%
X · Draw21.5%
2 · Atletico Madrid36.8%

Forecast updated

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
1.92 – 1.79model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
71.6%Under 28.4%
Both teams score
71.1%No 28.9%

Most likely scores

1–18.4%
2–18.1%
1–27.5%
2–27.2%
3–15.1%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do PSV and Atletico Madrid compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
PSVEredivisie1.14×1.28×
Atletico MadridLa Liga1.07×1.00×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

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Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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