Champions League · League phase · Matchday 5

Real Madrid vs PSV prediction

Real Madrid
vs
PSV
1 · Real Madrid68.1%
X · Draw15.8%
2 · PSV16.1%

Forecast updated

Venue: Bernabéu, Madrid, ES.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.89 – 1.40model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
80.1%Under 19.9%
Both teams score
71.1%No 28.9%

Most likely scores

2–18.0%
3–17.7%
2–05.7%
2–25.6%
4–15.6%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Real Madrid and PSV compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Real MadridLa Liga1.34×0.94×
PSVEredivisie1.14×1.28×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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