Champions League · League phase · Matchday 5

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Arsenal
vs
Borussia Dortmund
1 · Arsenal68.5%
X · Draw19.3%
2 · Borussia Dortmund12.3%

Forecast updated

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.09 – 0.75model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
54.1%Under 45.9%
Both teams score
46.3%No 53.7%

Most likely scores

2–012.7%
1–012.2%
2–19.6%
1–19.2%
3–08.9%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Arsenal and Borussia Dortmund compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
ArsenalPremier League1.26×0.58×
Borussia DortmundBundesliga0.99×0.99×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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