Champions League · League phase · Matchday 5

Manchester City vs Napoli prediction

Manchester City
vs
Napoli
1 · Manchester City72.2%
X · Draw15.8%
2 · Napoli12.0%

Forecast updated

Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, GB.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.62 – 0.99model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
70.0%Under 30.0%
Both teams score
58.4%No 41.6%

Most likely scores

2–09.3%
2–19.2%
3–08.1%
3–18.0%
1–07.1%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Manchester City and Napoli compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Manchester CityPremier League1.41×0.84×
NapoliSerie A0.91×1.10×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

What do fans think?