Champions League · League phase · Matchday 5

RB Leipzig vs Lens prediction

RB Leipzig
vs
Lens
1 · RB Leipzig56.6%
X · Draw20.5%
2 · Lens22.9%

Forecast updated

Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, DE.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.16 – 1.32model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
67.6%Under 32.4%
Both teams score
64.9%No 35.1%

Most likely scores

2–19.5%
1–18.8%
2–07.2%
3–16.8%
1–06.6%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do RB Leipzig and Lens compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
RB LeipzigBundesliga0.97×1.18×
LensLigue 10.86×1.32×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 19:49 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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