Champions League · League phase · Matchday 5

Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma prediction

Paris Saint-Germain
vs
Roma
1 · Paris Saint-Germain62.3%
X · Draw19.1%
2 · Roma18.6%

Forecast updated

Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris, FR.

Goals and likely scores

Expected goals
2.32 – 1.21model, not shot xG
Over 2.5 goals
68.4%Under 31.6%
Both teams score
63.2%No 36.8%

Most likely scores

2–19.5%
1–18.2%
2–07.9%
3–17.4%
1–06.8%

90 minutes only. Scores come from independent Poisson goal counts, which can slightly understate draws.

How do Paris Saint-Germain and Roma compare?

ClubLeagueAttackGoals conceded
Paris Saint-GermainLigue 11.35×0.90×
RomaSerie A1.03×1.02×

Relative to an average Premier League club. Higher attack and lower goals conceded are stronger. Rating method.

More Champions League predictions

Updated 12 Nov 2026, 04:19 UTC · 90-minute probabilities.

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