Championship · independent league model
Does Home Advantage Still Matter in the Championship?
Home teams won 41.4% of 667 matches.
667 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.
| Season | Matches | Home wins | Draws | Away wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 552 | 230 | 146 | 176 |
| 2026-27 | 115 | 46 | 33 | 36 |
- Results up to
- 2026-10-13
- Matches used
- 667
- Data source
- Project database
- Method
- Home win share of finished Championship matches; no odds required.
- 95% range
- 0.376 – 0.451
- Limitations
- One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.
Sources and limitations
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: football-data.co.uk. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Championship. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.