Serie A · Gameweek 7
Bologna vs Inter Milan Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Inter Milan 57.2%
Prediction probabilities
Bologna vs Inter Milan: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 58.8% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 57.4% in the model.
Bologna are 14th on 5 points after 6 matches; Inter Milan are 1st on 16. In 12 Serie A meetings since 2020-21, Bologna won 3, Inter Milan won 6 and 3 were drawn. They last met on 23 May 2026: Bologna 3–3 Inter Milan. In their last 5 league matches Bologna won 1 and Inter Milan won 4.
Home and away form
Bologna at home
5 played · 0W · 4D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Torino · 1–1 (D)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Sassuolo · 2–2 (D)
- 24 Aug 2026 · Lazio · 0–1 (L)
- 23 May 2026 · Inter Milan · 3–3 (D)
- 3 May 2026 · Cagliari · 0–0 (D)
Inter Milan away
4 played · 2W · 2D · 0L
Goals per match: 2.3 scored · 1.3 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Roma · 2–2 (D)
- 30 Aug 2026 · Cagliari · 1–0 (W)
- 23 May 2026 · Bologna · 3–3 (D)
- 9 May 2026 · Lazio · 3–0 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58.8%Under 41.2%
- Both teams score
- 57.4%No 42.6%
- Predicted goals
- 1.09 – 1.96Total 3.05 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 14% · 34%Bologna · Inter Milan
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| 2.5 | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| 3.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Bologna to score 1.09 goals and Inter Milan 1.96. Its ratings have Bologna scoring at 1.09 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 0.91 times, against 1.85 and 0.77 for Inter Milan. How the model works.
Questions about Bologna vs Inter Milan
Who is the favourite in Bologna vs Inter Milan?
Our model's most likely result is Inter Milan win at 57.2%. Full probabilities: Bologna 20.5%, draw 22.3%, Inter Milan 57.2%.
What is the most likely score in Bologna vs Inter Milan?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 10.4%. The model expects 1.09 goals for Bologna and 1.96 for Inter Milan.
Will Bologna vs Inter Milan have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 58.8% and both teams to score 57.4%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,340
- Model version
- dc-v4-a2f6319e3c5b
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.