Serie A · Gameweek 7
Juventus vs Lazio Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Juventus 46.7%
Prediction probabilities
Juventus vs Lazio: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 59.3% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 54.3% in the model.
Juventus are 6th on 11 points after 6 matches; Lazio are 2nd on 16. In 12 Serie A meetings since 2020-21, Juventus won 5, Lazio won 3 and 4 were drawn. They last met on 8 Feb 2026: Juventus 2–2 Lazio. In their last 5 league matches Juventus won 2 and Lazio won 4.
Home and away form
Juventus at home
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Atalanta · 2–0 (W)
- 6 Sept 2026 · AC Milan · 1–1 (D)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Parma · 2–0 (W)
- 17 May 2026 · Fiorentina · 0–2 (L)
- 3 May 2026 · Hellas Verona · 1–1 (D)
Lazio away
5 played · 4W · 0D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Venezia · 2–0 (W)
- 7 Sept 2026 · Udinese · 2–1 (W)
- 24 Aug 2026 · Bologna · 1–0 (W)
- 17 May 2026 · Roma · 0–2 (L)
- 4 May 2026 · Cremonese · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40.7%Under 59.3%
- Both teams score
- 45.8%No 54.3%
- Predicted goals
- 1.37 – 0.94Total 2.31 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 39% · 25%Juventus · Lazio
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| 2.5 | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| 3.5 | 20.3% | 79.7% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Juventus to score 1.37 goals and Lazio 0.94. Its ratings have Juventus scoring at 1.25 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 0.72 times, against 1.11 and 0.84 for Lazio. How the model works.
Questions about Juventus vs Lazio
Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Lazio?
Our model's most likely result is Juventus win at 46.7%. Full probabilities: Juventus 46.7%, draw 28.1%, Lazio 25.2%.
What is the most likely score in Juventus vs Lazio?
1–0 is the single most likely score at 13.3%. The model expects 1.37 goals for Juventus and 0.94 for Lazio.
Will Juventus vs Lazio have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 40.7% and both teams to score 45.8%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,340
- Model version
- dc-v4-a2f6319e3c5b
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.