Serie A · Gameweek 7
Parma vs Torino Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Torino 36.4%
Prediction probabilities
Parma vs Torino: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 63.5% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 56.1% in the model.
Parma are 18th on 4 points after 6 matches; Torino are 12th on 7. In 6 Serie A meetings since 2020-21, Parma won 1, Torino won 3 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 13 Mar 2026: Torino 4–1 Parma. In their last 5 league matches Parma won 1 and Torino won 2.
Home and away form
Parma at home
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Genoa · 2–1 (W)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Monza · 1–1 (D)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Cagliari · 0–1 (L)
- 24 May 2026 · Sassuolo · 1–0 (W)
- 10 May 2026 · Roma · 2–3 (L)
Torino away
5 played · 1W · 1D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Bologna · 1–1 (D)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Fiorentina · 2–1 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Sassuolo · 1–2 (L)
- 17 May 2026 · Cagliari · 1–2 (L)
- 2 May 2026 · Udinese · 0–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36.5%Under 63.5%
- Both teams score
- 43.9%No 56.1%
- Predicted goals
- 1.05 – 1.11Total 2.16 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 33% · 35%Parma · Torino
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| 2.5 | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| 3.5 | 17.2% | 82.8% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Parma to score 1.05 goals and Torino 1.11. Its ratings have Parma scoring at 0.77 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 1.00 times, against 0.95 and 1.04 for Torino. How the model works.
Questions about Parma vs Torino
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Torino?
Our model's most likely result is Torino win at 36.4%. Full probabilities: Parma 33.5%, draw 30.2%, Torino 36.4%.
What is the most likely score in Parma vs Torino?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.8%. The model expects 1.05 goals for Parma and 1.11 for Torino.
Will Parma vs Torino have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 36.5% and both teams to score 43.9%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,340
- Model version
- dc-v4-a2f6319e3c5b
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.