Serie A · Gameweek 8
Lecce vs Juventus Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Juventus 58.1%
Prediction probabilities
Lecce vs Juventus: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 61.7% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 61.1% in the model.
Lecce are 13th on 6 points after 6 matches; Juventus are 6th on 11. In 8 Serie A meetings since 2022-23, Lecce won 0, Juventus won 6 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 9 May 2026: Lecce 0–1 Juventus. In their last 5 league matches Lecce won 1 and Juventus won 2.
Home and away form
Lecce at home
5 played · 2W · 0D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Bologna · 1–2 (L)
- 13 Sept 2026 · Monza · 3–2 (W)
- 31 Aug 2026 · Roma · 0–4 (L)
- 24 May 2026 · Genoa · 1–0 (W)
- 9 May 2026 · Juventus · 0–1 (L)
Juventus away
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Cagliari · 1–1 (D)
- 13 Sept 2026 · Sassuolo · 2–3 (L)
- 23 Aug 2026 · Frosinone · 1–0 (W)
- 24 May 2026 · Torino · 2–2 (D)
- 9 May 2026 · Lecce · 1–0 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38.3%Under 61.7%
- Both teams score
- 38.9%No 61.1%
- Predicted goals
- 0.67 – 1.55Total 2.22 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 21% · 51%Lecce · Juventus
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65.3% | 34.7% |
| 2.5 | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| 3.5 | 18.5% | 81.5% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Lecce to score 0.67 goals and Juventus 1.55. Its ratings have Lecce scoring at 0.71 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 1.06 times, against 1.25 and 0.72 for Juventus. How the model works.
Questions about Lecce vs Juventus
Who is the favourite in Lecce vs Juventus?
Our model's most likely result is Juventus win at 58.1%. Full probabilities: Lecce 15.8%, draw 26.1%, Juventus 58.1%.
What is the most likely score in Lecce vs Juventus?
0–1 is the single most likely score at 16.5%. The model expects 0.67 goals for Lecce and 1.55 for Juventus.
Will Lecce vs Juventus have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 38.3% and both teams to score 38.9%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,340
- Model version
- dc-v4-a2f6319e3c5b
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.