Serie A · Gameweek 9
Torino vs Como Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Como 51.1%
Prediction probabilities
Torino vs Como: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 53.7% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 50.9% in the model.
Torino are 12th on 7 points after 6 matches; Como are 7th on 11. In 4 Serie A meetings since 2024-25, Torino won 1, Como won 3 and none were drawn. They last met on 24 Jan 2026: Como 6–0 Torino. In their last 5 league matches Torino won 2 and Como won 3.
Home and away form
Torino at home
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 12 Oct 2026 · Udinese · 2–1 (W)
- 14 Sept 2026 · Roma · 0–2 (L)
- 23 Aug 2026 · AC Milan · 1–2 (L)
- 24 May 2026 · Juventus · 2–2 (D)
- 8 May 2026 · Sassuolo · 2–1 (W)
Como away
5 played · 3W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Frosinone · 0–2 (L)
- 4 Sept 2026 · Genoa · 4–1 (W)
- 30 Aug 2026 · Napoli · 2–1 (W)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Udinese · 1–1 (D)
- 24 May 2026 · Cremonese · 4–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.3%Under 53.7%
- Both teams score
- 49.1%No 50.9%
- Predicted goals
- 0.96 – 1.57Total 2.53 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 21% · 38%Torino · Como
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72.1% | 27.9% |
| 2.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| 3.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Torino to score 0.96 goals and Como 1.57. Its ratings have Torino scoring at 0.95 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 1.04 times, against 1.30 and 0.77 for Como. How the model works.
Questions about Torino vs Como
Who is the favourite in Torino vs Como?
Our model's most likely result is Como win at 51.1%. Full probabilities: Torino 22.8%, draw 26.0%, Como 51.1%.
What is the most likely score in Torino vs Como?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 12.3%. The model expects 0.96 goals for Torino and 1.57 for Como.
Will Torino vs Como have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 46.3% and both teams to score 49.1%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,340
- Model version
- dc-v4-a2f6319e3c5b
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.