Serie A · Gameweek 10
Frosinone vs Torino Prediction
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Fair odds are implied by model probabilities (100 ÷ probability %). They are not bookmaker quotes. Fractional odds are approximate.
Forecast published
Model: Frosinone 46.0%
Our Serie A record: the most likely result happened in 4 of 7 predictions (57%; a random pick of home, draw or away is right about one time in three), each published before kickoff and never edited. See every prediction ›
Frosinone vs Torino: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 53.6% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 56.5% in the model.
Frosinone are 5th on 13 points after 7 matches; Torino are 13th on 7. In 6 Serie A meetings since 2015-16, Frosinone won 0, Torino won 4 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 21 Apr 2024: Torino 0–0 Frosinone. In their last 5 league matches Frosinone won 3 and Torino won 2.
Home and away form
Frosinone at home
4 played · 3W · 0D · 1L
Goals per match: 2.3 scored · 1.3 conceded
Results in this sample
- 16 Oct 2026 · Sassuolo · 4–2 (W)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Como · 2–0 (W)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Venezia · 3–2 (W)
- 23 Aug 2026 · Juventus · 0–1 (L)
Torino away
5 played · 1W · 1D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Bologna · 1–1 (D)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Fiorentina · 2–1 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Sassuolo · 1–2 (L)
- 17 May 2026 · Cagliari · 1–2 (L)
- 2 May 2026 · Udinese · 0–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Frosinone vs Torino: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53.6%Under 46.4%
- Both teams score
- 56.5%No 43.5%
- Predicted goals
- 1.60 – 1.22Total 2.82 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 30% · 20%Frosinone · Torino
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over probability | Over fair odds | Under probability | Under fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77.5% | 2/7 | 22.5% | 7/2 |
| 2.5 | 53.6% | 5/6 | 46.4% | 6/5 |
| 3.5 | 31.3% | 9/4 | 68.7% | 4/9 |
Compare observed club rates in the over 2.5 goals leaderboard and BTTS leaderboard. These historical rates are separate from this match's model probabilities.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated. Read how the expected goals model and Dixon–Coles low-score correction work, or how to interpret over/under and both teams to score.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Frosinone to score 1.60 goals and Torino 1.22. Its ratings have Frosinone scoring at 1.17 times the model's Serie A average and conceding at 1.09 times, against 0.95 and 1.03 for Torino. How the model works.
Questions about Frosinone vs Torino
Who is the favourite in Frosinone vs Torino?
Our model's most likely result is Frosinone win at 46.0%. Full probabilities: Frosinone 46.0%, draw 25.1%, Torino 28.9%.
What is the most likely score in Frosinone vs Torino?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 11.9%. The model expects 1.60 goals for Frosinone and 1.22 for Torino.
Will Frosinone vs Torino have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 53.6% and both teams to score 56.5%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-18
- Matches used
- 4,556
- Model version
- dc-v4-5eea06f7db23
- Data source
- Finished Serie A scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
Explore how upcoming results change the Serie A season outlook →