Championship · Gameweek 10
Lincoln City vs West Ham Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: West Ham 50.5%
Prediction probabilities
Lincoln City vs West Ham: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 54.3% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 56.1% in the model.
Lincoln City are 17th on 11 points, while West Ham sit sixth with 16 points. Lincoln City’s recent form is LLWWD, compared with West Ham’s DDWWW. At home, Lincoln City have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4; West Ham have 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses on the road.
Home and away form
Lincoln City at home
4 played · 0W · 2D · 2L
Goals per match: 0.8 scored · 1.5 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Swansea City · 1–2 (L)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Southampton · 1–1 (D)
- 1 Sept 2026 · Blackburn Rovers · 0–0 (D)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Portsmouth · 1–3 (L)
West Ham away
4 played · 1W · 3D · 0L
Goals per match: 2.0 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Millwall · 2–2 (D)
- 8 Sept 2026 · Bolton Wanderers · 3–2 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Watford · 1–1 (D)
- 16 Aug 2026 · Burnley · 2–2 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54.3%Under 45.8%
- Both teams score
- 56.1%No 43.9%
- Predicted goals
- 1.14 – 1.71Total 2.85 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 18% · 32%Lincoln City · West Ham
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78.1% | 21.9% |
| 2.5 | 54.3% | 45.8% |
| 3.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Lincoln City to score 1.14 goals and West Ham 1.71. Its ratings have Lincoln City scoring at 0.78 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.93 times, against 1.58 and 1.01 for West Ham. How the model works.
Questions about Lincoln City vs West Ham
Who is the favourite in Lincoln City vs West Ham?
Our model's most likely result is West Ham win at 50.5%. Full probabilities: Lincoln City 24.9%, draw 24.6%, West Ham 50.5%.
What is the most likely score in Lincoln City vs West Ham?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 11.6%. The model expects 1.14 goals for Lincoln City and 1.71 for West Ham.
Will Lincoln City vs West Ham have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 54.2% and both teams to score 56.1%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.