Championship · Gameweek 11
Bristol City vs Sheffield United Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Bristol City 37.2%
Prediction probabilities
Bristol City vs Sheffield United: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 53.7% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 51.9% in the model.
Bristol City are 12th on 14 points after 10 matches; Sheffield United are 15th on 12. In 8 Championship meetings since 2021-22, Bristol City won 2, Sheffield United won 4 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 6 Apr 2026: Bristol City 1–0 Sheffield United. In their last 5 league matches Bristol City won 1 and Sheffield United won 2.
Home and away form
Bristol City at home
5 played · 2W · 0D · 3L
Goals per match: 0.6 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 13 Oct 2026 · Blackburn Rovers · 0–1 (L)
- 18 Sept 2026 · Watford · 1–0 (W)
- 15 Sept 2026 · Lincoln City · 0–1 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Portsmouth · 2–1 (W)
- 15 Aug 2026 · Millwall · 0–2 (L)
Sheffield United away
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Stoke City · 1–2 (L)
- 8 Sept 2026 · Blackburn Rovers · 2–1 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Cardiff City · 2–2 (D)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Swansea City · 0–0 (D)
- 2 May 2026 · Derby County · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.3%Under 53.7%
- Both teams score
- 51.9%No 48.1%
- Predicted goals
- 1.29 – 1.24Total 2.53 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 29% · 28%Bristol City · Sheffield United
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72.2% | 27.8% |
| 2.5 | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| 3.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Bristol City to score 1.29 goals and Sheffield United 1.24. Its ratings have Bristol City scoring at 0.96 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.99 times, against 1.08 and 0.93 for Sheffield United. How the model works.
Questions about Bristol City vs Sheffield United
Who is the favourite in Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
Our model's most likely result is Bristol City win at 37.2%. Full probabilities: Bristol City 37.2%, draw 27.7%, Sheffield United 35.1%.
What is the most likely score in Bristol City vs Sheffield United?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.2%. The model expects 1.29 goals for Bristol City and 1.24 for Sheffield United.
Will Bristol City vs Sheffield United have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 46.3% and both teams to score 51.9%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.