Championship · Gameweek 11
West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: West Bromwich Albion 43.8%
Prediction probabilities
West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 64.6% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 58.0% in the model.
West Bromwich Albion are 5th on 17 points after 10 matches; Blackburn Rovers are 8th on 15. In 10 Championship meetings since 2021-22, West Bromwich Albion won 3, Blackburn Rovers won 3 and 4 were drawn. They last met on 6 Apr 2026: Blackburn Rovers 0–0 West Bromwich Albion. In their last 5 league matches West Bromwich Albion won 2 and Blackburn Rovers won 3.
Home and away form
West Bromwich Albion at home
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Birmingham City · 0–1 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Queens Park Rangers · 1–1 (D)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Watford · 1–0 (W)
- 2 Sept 2026 · Charlton Athletic · 1–1 (D)
- 23 Aug 2026 · Burnley · 3–1 (W)
Blackburn Rovers away
5 played · 1W · 3D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 13 Oct 2026 · Bristol City · 1–0 (W)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Portsmouth · 2–2 (D)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Preston North End · 1–2 (L)
- 1 Sept 2026 · Lincoln City · 0–0 (D)
- 14 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton · 2–2 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35.4%Under 64.6%
- Both teams score
- 42.0%No 58.0%
- Predicted goals
- 1.23 – 0.88Total 2.11 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 41% · 29%West Bromwich Albion · Blackburn Rovers
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| 2.5 | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| 3.5 | 16.4% | 83.6% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects West Bromwich Albion to score 1.23 goals and Blackburn Rovers 0.88. Its ratings have West Bromwich Albion scoring at 0.91 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.87 times, against 0.87 and 0.94 for Blackburn Rovers. How the model works.
Questions about West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers
Who is the favourite in West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?
Our model's most likely result is West Bromwich Albion win at 43.8%. Full probabilities: West Bromwich Albion 43.8%, draw 30.1%, Blackburn Rovers 26.1%.
What is the most likely score in West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?
1–0 is the single most likely score at 14.4%. The model expects 1.23 goals for West Bromwich Albion and 0.88 for Blackburn Rovers.
Will West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 35.4% and both teams to score 42.0%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.