Championship · Gameweek 12
Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Norwich City 39.2%
Prediction probabilities
Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 53.5% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 51.9% in the model.
Charlton Athletic are 13th on 14 points after 10 matches; Norwich City are 19th on 9. In 2 Championship meetings since 2025-26, Charlton Athletic won 0, Norwich City won 2 and none were drawn. They last met on 21 Mar 2026: Charlton Athletic 0–1 Norwich City. In their last 5 league matches Charlton Athletic won 0 and Norwich City won 2.
Home and away form
Charlton Athletic at home
5 played · 2W · 3D · 0L
Goals per match: 0.8 scored · 0.4 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Bristol City · 1–1 (D)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Portsmouth · 0–0 (D)
- 9 Sept 2026 · Queens Park Rangers · 0–0 (D)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Preston North End · 1–0 (W)
- 15 Aug 2026 · Derby County · 2–1 (W)
Norwich City away
5 played · 1W · 0D · 4L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Swansea City · 1–2 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Middlesbrough · 3–4 (L)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Sheffield United · 3–1 (W)
- 1 Sept 2026 · Stoke City · 0–1 (L)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Millwall · 0–3 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.5%Under 53.5%
- Both teams score
- 51.9%No 48.1%
- Predicted goals
- 1.20 – 1.33Total 2.53 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 26% · 30%Charlton Athletic · Norwich City
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72.3% | 27.6% |
| 2.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 3.5 | 24.9% | 75.0% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Charlton Athletic to score 1.20 goals and Norwich City 1.33. Its ratings have Charlton Athletic scoring at 0.79 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.98 times, against 1.17 and 1.07 for Norwich City. How the model works.
Questions about Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City
Who is the favourite in Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?
Our model's most likely result is Norwich City win at 39.2%. Full probabilities: Charlton Athletic 33.3%, draw 27.6%, Norwich City 39.2%.
What is the most likely score in Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.1%. The model expects 1.20 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.33 for Norwich City.
Will Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 46.5% and both teams to score 51.9%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.