Championship · Gameweek 12
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Queens Park Rangers 36.5%
Prediction probabilities
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 54.3% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 51.4% in the model.
Queens Park Rangers are 9th on 14 points after 9 matches; Swansea City are 1st on 23. In 12 Championship meetings since 2020-21, Queens Park Rangers won 4, Swansea City won 5 and 3 were drawn. They last met on 21 Apr 2026: Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City. In their last 5 league matches Queens Park Rangers won 0 and Swansea City won 4.
Home and away form
Queens Park Rangers at home
4 played · 1W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Preston North End · 2–2 (D)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Middlesbrough · 0–1 (L)
- 2 Sept 2026 · Cardiff City · 2–1 (W)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Bolton Wanderers · 0–0 (D)
Swansea City away
5 played · 4W · 0D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.8 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 13 Oct 2026 · Millwall · 1–0 (W)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Lincoln City · 2–1 (W)
- 8 Sept 2026 · Southampton · 1–3 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Derby County · 3–0 (W)
- 15 Aug 2026 · Stoke City · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45.7%Under 54.3%
- Both teams score
- 51.4%No 48.6%
- Predicted goals
- 1.26 – 1.24Total 2.50 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 29% · 28%Queens Park Rangers · Swansea City
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| 2.5 | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| 3.5 | 24.3% | 75.7% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Queens Park Rangers to score 1.26 goals and Swansea City 1.24. Its ratings have Queens Park Rangers scoring at 0.95 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 1.06 times, against 1.01 and 0.93 for Swansea City. How the model works.
Questions about Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City
Who is the favourite in Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?
Our model's most likely result is Queens Park Rangers win at 36.5%. Full probabilities: Queens Park Rangers 36.5%, draw 27.8%, Swansea City 35.7%.
What is the most likely score in Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.2%. The model expects 1.26 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.24 for Swansea City.
Will Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 45.7% and both teams to score 51.4%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.