Championship · Gameweek 12
Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Blackburn Rovers 40.1%
Prediction probabilities
Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 53.5% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 51.9% in the model.
Blackburn Rovers are 8th on 15 points after 10 matches; Wrexham are 16th on 11. In 2 Championship meetings since 2025-26, Blackburn Rovers won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn. They last met on 1 Jan 2026: Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Wrexham. In their last 5 league matches Blackburn Rovers won 3 and Wrexham won 1.
Home and away form
Blackburn Rovers at home
5 played · 3W · 0D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Cardiff City · 2–1 (W)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Millwall · 3–1 (W)
- 8 Sept 2026 · Sheffield United · 1–2 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Queens Park Rangers · 1–2 (L)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Middlesbrough · 2–1 (W)
Wrexham away
5 played · 1W · 3D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Derby County · 1–1 (D)
- 11 Sept 2026 · West Ham · 0–6 (L)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Swansea City · 0–0 (D)
- 2 Sept 2026 · Millwall · 3–0 (W)
- 17 Aug 2026 · Cardiff City · 1–1 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.5%Under 53.5%
- Both teams score
- 51.9%No 48.1%
- Predicted goals
- 1.35 – 1.19Total 2.54 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 31% · 26%Blackburn Rovers · Wrexham
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72.4% | 27.6% |
| 2.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 3.5 | 25.0% | 75.0% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Blackburn Rovers to score 1.35 goals and Wrexham 1.19. Its ratings have Blackburn Rovers scoring at 0.87 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.94 times, against 1.09 and 1.08 for Wrexham. How the model works.
Questions about Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham
Who is the favourite in Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?
Our model's most likely result is Blackburn Rovers win at 40.1%. Full probabilities: Blackburn Rovers 40.1%, draw 27.5%, Wrexham 32.4%.
What is the most likely score in Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.1%. The model expects 1.35 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.19 for Wrexham.
Will Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 46.5% and both teams to score 51.9%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 3,427
- Model version
- dc-v4-7dc9466ef45e
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.