Championship · Gameweek 13
West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction
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Fair odds are implied by model probabilities (100 ÷ probability %). They are not bookmaker quotes. Fractional odds are approximate.
Forecast published
Model: West Ham 65.9%
Our Championship record: the most likely result happened in 5 of 12 predictions (42%; a random pick of home, draw or away is right about one time in three), each published before kickoff and never edited. See every prediction ›
West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 62.2% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 55.7% in the model.
West Ham are 2nd on 22 points after 11 matches; West Bromwich Albion are 6th on 20. In their last 5 league matches West Ham won 3 and West Bromwich Albion won 2.
Home and away form
West Ham at home
5 played · 3W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 3.0 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 9 Oct 2026 · Queens Park Rangers · 1–1 (D)
- 11 Sept 2026 · Wrexham · 6–0 (W)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Derby County · 3–0 (W)
- 1 Sept 2026 · Wolverhampton · 4–2 (W)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Charlton Athletic · 1–2 (L)
West Bromwich Albion away
4 played · 2W · 0D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 1.3 conceded
Results in this sample
- 13 Oct 2026 · Wrexham · 2–1 (W)
- 20 Sept 2026 · Wolverhampton · 0–1 (L)
- 9 Sept 2026 · Derby County · 1–0 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Middlesbrough · 1–3 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62.2%Under 37.8%
- Both teams score
- 55.7%No 44.3%
- Predicted goals
- 2.24 – 0.97Total 3.21 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 38% · 11%West Ham · West Bromwich Albion
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over probability | Over fair odds | Under probability | Under fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83.2% | 1/5 | 16.8% | 5/1 |
| 2.5 | 62.2% | 8/13 | 37.8% | 13/8 |
| 3.5 | 40.0% | 6/4 | 60.0% | 4/6 |
Compare observed club rates in the over 2.5 goals leaderboard and BTTS leaderboard. These historical rates are separate from this match's model probabilities.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated. Read how the expected goals model and Dixon–Coles low-score correction work, or how to interpret over/under and both teams to score.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects West Ham to score 2.24 goals and West Bromwich Albion 0.97. Its ratings have West Ham scoring at 1.76 times the model's Championship average and conceding at 0.89 times, against 0.93 and 0.89 for West Bromwich Albion. How the model works.
Questions about West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion
Who is the favourite in West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion?
Our model's most likely result is West Ham win at 65.9%. Full probabilities: West Ham 65.9%, draw 19.2%, West Bromwich Albion 14.9%.
What is the most likely score in West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion?
2–0 is the single most likely score at 10.1%. The model expects 2.24 goals for West Ham and 0.97 for West Bromwich Albion.
Will West Ham vs West Bromwich Albion have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 62.2% and both teams to score 55.7%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-17
- Matches used
- 6,611
- Model version
- dc-v4-7c38089bae99
- Data source
- Finished Championship scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.