Bundesliga · Gameweek 6
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Eintracht Frankfurt 55.3%
Prediction probabilities
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 68.5% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 66.5% in the model.
Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th on 5 points after 5 matches; FC Cologne are 10th on 7. In 10 Bundesliga meetings since 2020-21, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2, FC Cologne won 3 and 5 were drawn. They last met on 5 Apr 2026: Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 FC Cologne. In their last 5 league matches Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and FC Cologne won 2.
Home and away form
Eintracht Frankfurt at home
5 played · 0W · 2D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 2.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Freiburg · 2–2 (D)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Augsburg · 1–4 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Stuttgart · 2–2 (D)
- 2 May 2026 · Hamburg · 1–2 (L)
- 18 Apr 2026 · RB Leipzig · 1–3 (L)
FC Cologne away
5 played · 0W · 2D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 2.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Hamburg · 1–2 (L)
- 4 Sept 2026 · Stuttgart · 1–4 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Bayern Munich · 1–5 (L)
- 2 May 2026 · Union Berlin · 2–2 (D)
- 17 Apr 2026 · St Pauli · 1–1 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68.5%Under 31.5%
- Both teams score
- 66.5%No 33.5%
- Predicted goals
- 2.17 – 1.36Total 3.53 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 26% · 11%Eintracht Frankfurt · FC Cologne
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| 2.5 | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| 3.5 | 47.0% | 53.0% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Eintracht Frankfurt to score 2.17 goals and FC Cologne 1.36. Its ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt scoring at 1.19 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 1.10 times, against 0.93 and 1.10 for FC Cologne. How the model works.
Questions about Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne?
Our model's most likely result is Eintracht Frankfurt win at 55.3%. Full probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 55.3%, draw 21.9%, FC Cologne 22.9%.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne?
2–1 is the single most likely score at 9.4%. The model expects 2.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.36 for FC Cologne.
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 68.5% and both teams to score 66.5%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 1,881
- Model version
- dc-v4-ba6c83c1eccd
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.