Bundesliga · independent league model

Bundesliga Goals: Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score

Updated 14 Oct 2026, 17:03 UTC · regular-season results and model estimates

Across 351 completed matches, the average was 3.31 goals. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 65.5%; both teams scored in 61.5%.

351 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.

SeasonMatchesGoals / matchOver 2.5Both score
2025-263063.24195189
2026-27453.823527
Results up to
2026-10-11
Matches used
351
Data source
Project database
Method
Full-time goals in unique completed Bundesliga matches; no odds required.
Limitations
One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.

Sources and limitations

Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: OpenFootball and football-data.org. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.

Older archive records without a verified timezone use the end of the match date in UTC. Recent seasons use exact football-data.org timestamps. This keeps historical results out of training until their conservative availability time.

No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Bundesliga. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.