Bundesliga · Gameweek 6
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Borussia Monchengladbach 40.5%
Prediction probabilities
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 68.4% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 69.3% in the model.
Borussia Monchengladbach are 18th on 0 points after 5 matches; Hoffenheim are 17th on 3. In 12 Bundesliga meetings since 2020-21, Borussia Monchengladbach won 6, Hoffenheim won 4 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 16 May 2026: Borussia Monchengladbach 4–0 Hoffenheim. In their last 5 league matches Borussia Monchengladbach won 0 and Hoffenheim won 1.
Home and away form
Borussia Monchengladbach at home
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 2.4 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Mainz · 3–4 (L)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Elversberg · 3–4 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Hoffenheim · 4–0 (W)
- 3 May 2026 · Borussia Dortmund · 1–0 (W)
- 19 Apr 2026 · Mainz · 1–1 (D)
Hoffenheim away
4 played · 1W · 0D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.3 scored · 2.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Paderborn · 1–3 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Fc Cologne · 2–3 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Borussia Monchengladbach · 0–4 (L)
- 25 Apr 2026 · Hamburg · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68.4%Under 31.6%
- Both teams score
- 69.3%No 30.7%
- Predicted goals
- 1.82 – 1.71Total 3.53 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 18% · 16%Borussia Monchengladbach · Hoffenheim
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| 2.5 | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| 3.5 | 46.9% | 53.1% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Borussia Monchengladbach to score 1.82 goals and Hoffenheim 1.71. Its ratings have Borussia Monchengladbach scoring at 0.99 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 1.10 times, against 1.16 and 1.11 for Hoffenheim. How the model works.
Questions about Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
Who is the favourite in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim?
Our model's most likely result is Borussia Monchengladbach win at 40.5%. Full probabilities: Borussia Monchengladbach 40.5%, draw 23.6%, Hoffenheim 35.9%.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 9.9%. The model expects 1.82 goals for Borussia Monchengladbach and 1.71 for Hoffenheim.
Will Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 68.4% and both teams to score 69.3%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 1,881
- Model version
- dc-v4-ba6c83c1eccd
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.