Bundesliga · Gameweek 7
Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Stuttgart 63.0%
1 Bundesliga prediction published before kickoff and never edited; results are scored as matches are played. See every prediction ›
Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 69.0% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 63.7% in the model.
Stuttgart are 11th on 6 points after 5 matches; Borussia Monchengladbach are 18th on 0. In 36 Bundesliga meetings since 2005-06, Stuttgart won 18, Borussia Monchengladbach won 10 and 8 were drawn. They last met on 25 Jan 2026: Borussia Monchengladbach 0–3 Stuttgart. In their last 5 league matches Stuttgart won 2 and Borussia Monchengladbach won 0.
Home and away form
Stuttgart at home
4 played · 2W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 2.0 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Borussia Dortmund · 0–1 (L)
- 4 Sept 2026 · Fc Cologne · 4–1 (W)
- 9 May 2026 · Bayer Leverkusen · 3–1 (W)
- 26 Apr 2026 · Werder Bremen · 1–1 (D)
Borussia Monchengladbach away
5 played · 0W · 1D · 4L
Goals per match: 0.4 scored · 2.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Fc Cologne · 1–2 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Freiburg · 0–5 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · RB Leipzig · 0–3 (L)
- 9 May 2026 · Augsburg · 1–3 (L)
- 25 Apr 2026 · Wolfsburg · 0–0 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69.0%Under 31.0%
- Both teams score
- 63.7%No 36.3%
- Predicted goals
- 2.37 – 1.19Total 3.56 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 30% · 9%Stuttgart · Borussia Monchengladbach
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87.7% | 12.3% |
| 2.5 | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| 3.5 | 47.6% | 52.4% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Stuttgart to score 2.37 goals and Borussia Monchengladbach 1.19. Its ratings have Stuttgart scoring at 1.30 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 0.90 times, against 0.99 and 1.10 for Borussia Monchengladbach. How the model works.
Questions about Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach
Who is the favourite in Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
Our model's most likely result is Stuttgart win at 63.0%. Full probabilities: Stuttgart 63.0%, draw 19.9%, Borussia Monchengladbach 17.1%.
What is the most likely score in Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
2–1 is the single most likely score at 9.5%. The model expects 2.37 goals for Stuttgart and 1.19 for Borussia Monchengladbach.
Will Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 69.0% and both teams to score 63.7%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-15
- Matches used
- 3,647
- Model version
- dc-v4-658b98ba1013
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.