Bundesliga · Gameweek 7
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction
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Forecast published
Model: Borussia Dortmund 66.0%
Prediction probabilities
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 71.3% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 64.1% in the model.
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 13 points after 5 matches; Eintracht Frankfurt are 14th on 5. In 12 Bundesliga meetings since 2020-21, Borussia Dortmund won 7, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 and 3 were drawn. They last met on 8 May 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt. In their last 5 league matches Borussia Dortmund won 4 and Eintracht Frankfurt won 1.
Home and away form
Borussia Dortmund at home
5 played · 4W · 1D · 0L
Goals per match: 2.8 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 9 Oct 2026 · Werder Bremen · 2–2 (D)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Paderborn · 3–0 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Hamburg · 2–0 (W)
- 8 May 2026 · Eintracht Frankfurt · 3–2 (W)
- 26 Apr 2026 · Freiburg · 4–0 (W)
Eintracht Frankfurt away
5 played · 1W · 2D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.8 scored · 2.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · RB Leipzig · 0–6 (L)
- 12 Sept 2026 · Mainz · 3–1 (W)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Union Berlin · 3–3 (D)
- 8 May 2026 · Borussia Dortmund · 2–3 (L)
- 25 Apr 2026 · Augsburg · 1–1 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71.3%Under 28.6%
- Both teams score
- 64.1%No 35.9%
- Predicted goals
- 2.52 – 1.17Total 3.69 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 31% · 8%Borussia Dortmund · Eintracht Frankfurt
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88.9% | 11.1% |
| 2.5 | 71.3% | 28.6% |
| 3.5 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Borussia Dortmund to score 2.52 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.17. Its ratings have Borussia Dortmund scoring at 1.38 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 0.74 times, against 1.19 and 1.10 for Eintracht Frankfurt. How the model works.
Questions about Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Who is the favourite in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model's most likely result is Borussia Dortmund win at 66.0%. Full probabilities: Borussia Dortmund 66.0%, draw 18.6%, Eintracht Frankfurt 15.4%.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
2–1 is the single most likely score at 9.3%. The model expects 2.52 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.17 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Will Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 71.3% and both teams to score 64.1%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 1,881
- Model version
- dc-v4-ba6c83c1eccd
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.