Bundesliga · Gameweek 8
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg Prediction
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Fair odds are implied by model probabilities (100 ÷ probability %). They are not bookmaker quotes. Fractional odds are approximate.
Forecast published
Model: Eintracht Frankfurt 56.0%
Our Bundesliga record: the most likely result happened in 5 of 9 predictions (56%; a random pick of home, draw or away is right about one time in three), each published before kickoff and never edited. See every prediction ›
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 63.2% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 61.8% in the model.
Eintracht Frankfurt are 11th with 8 points, while Hamburg are ninth with 9 points. Frankfurt’s recent form is WLDWL, compared with Hamburg’s WWWLL. The teams have drawn 10 of 26 meetings, with 8 wins each; Hamburg won the last meeting 2-1 on 2 May 2026. Both have one win at home or away respectively from 3 matches.
Home and away form
Eintracht Frankfurt at home
5 played · 1W · 2D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 16 Oct 2026 · Fc Cologne · 1–0 (W)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Freiburg · 2–2 (D)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Augsburg · 1–4 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Stuttgart · 2–2 (D)
- 2 May 2026 · Hamburg · 1–2 (L)
Hamburg away
5 played · 2W · 1D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.2 scored · 2.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Hoffenheim · 3–2 (W)
- 13 Sept 2026 · RB Leipzig · 0–5 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Borussia Dortmund · 0–2 (L)
- 16 May 2026 · Bayer Leverkusen · 1–1 (D)
- 2 May 2026 · Eintracht Frankfurt · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg: attack and defence ratings
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63.2%Under 36.8%
- Both teams score
- 61.8%No 38.2%
- Predicted goals
- 2.05 – 1.21Total 3.26 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 30% · 13%Eintracht Frankfurt · Hamburg
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over probability | Over fair odds | Under probability | Under fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84.3% | 2/11 | 15.8% | 11/2 |
| 2.5 | 63.2% | 4/7 | 36.8% | 7/4 |
| 3.5 | 41.0% | 6/4 | 59.0% | 4/6 |
Compare observed club rates in the over 2.5 goals leaderboard and BTTS leaderboard. These historical rates are separate from this match's model probabilities.
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated. Read how the expected goals model and Dixon–Coles low-score correction work, or how to interpret over/under and both teams to score.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Eintracht Frankfurt to score 2.05 goals and Hamburg 1.21. Its ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt scoring at 1.17 times the model's Bundesliga average and conceding at 1.07 times, against 0.84 and 1.04 for Hamburg. How the model works.
Questions about Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
Our model's most likely result is Eintracht Frankfurt win at 56.0%. Full probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 56.0%, draw 22.5%, Hamburg 21.5%.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 10.2%. The model expects 2.05 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.21 for Hamburg.
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 63.2% and both teams to score 61.8%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-18
- Matches used
- 3,653
- Model version
- dc-v4-6b0c3d87b1da
- Data source
- Finished Bundesliga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.
Keep going
Explore how upcoming results change the Bundesliga season outlook →