Ligue 1 · Gameweek 8
Brest vs Nice Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Brest 43.9%
Prediction probabilities
Brest vs Nice: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 53.0% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 56.6% in the model.
Brest are 7th on 8 points after 6 matches; Nice are 9th on 8. In 12 Ligue 1 meetings since 2020-21, Brest won 3, Nice won 6 and 3 were drawn. They last met on 1 Feb 2026: Nice 2–2 Brest. In their last 5 league matches Brest won 2 and Nice won 2.
Home and away form
Brest at home
5 played · 1W · 2D · 2L
Goals per match: 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded
Results in this sample
- 10 Oct 2026 · Angers · 5–1 (W)
- 13 Sept 2026 · Paris Saint-Germain · 0–1 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Toulouse · 2–2 (D)
- 17 May 2026 · Angers · 1–1 (D)
- 13 May 2026 · Strasbourg · 1–2 (L)
Nice away
4 played · 0W · 1D · 3L
Goals per match: 0.5 scored · 1.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 12 Sept 2026 · Auxerre · 0–1 (L)
- 30 Aug 2026 · Paris FC · 0–3 (L)
- 10 May 2026 · Auxerre · 1–2 (L)
- 26 Apr 2026 · Marseille · 1–1 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53.0%Under 47.0%
- Both teams score
- 56.6%No 43.4%
- Predicted goals
- 1.55 – 1.25Total 2.80 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 29% · 21%Brest · Nice
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| 2.5 | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| 3.5 | 30.8% | 69.2% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Brest to score 1.55 goals and Nice 1.25. Its ratings have Brest scoring at 1.08 times the model's Ligue 1 average and conceding at 1.05 times, against 0.96 and 0.94 for Nice. How the model works.
Questions about Brest vs Nice
Who is the favourite in Brest vs Nice?
Our model's most likely result is Brest win at 43.9%. Full probabilities: Brest 43.9%, draw 25.9%, Nice 30.2%.
What is the most likely score in Brest vs Nice?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 12.2%. The model expects 1.55 goals for Brest and 1.25 for Nice.
Will Brest vs Nice have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 53.0% and both teams to score 56.6%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,112
- Model version
- dc-v4-152b40e636ac
- Data source
- Finished Ligue 1 scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.