Ligue 1 · independent league model
Does Home Advantage Still Matter in the Ligue 1?
Home teams won 46.1% of 360 matches.
360 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.
| Season | Matches | Home wins | Draws | Away wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 306 | 141 | 75 | 90 |
| 2026-27 | 54 | 25 | 14 | 15 |
- Results up to
- 2026-10-11
- Matches used
- 360
- Data source
- Project database
- Method
- Home win share of finished Ligue 1 matches; no odds required.
- 95% range
- 0.410 – 0.513
- Limitations
- One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.
Sources and limitations
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: OpenFootball and football-data.org. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
Older archive records without a verified timezone use the end of the match date in UTC. Recent seasons use exact football-data.org timestamps. This keeps historical results out of training until their conservative availability time.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Ligue 1. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.