Ligue 1 · independent league model

Ligue 1 Goals: Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score

Updated 14 Oct 2026, 17:03 UTC · regular-season results and model estimates

Across 360 completed matches, the average was 2.83 goals. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 53.9%; both teams scored in 52.2%.

360 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.

SeasonMatchesGoals / matchOver 2.5Both score
2025-263062.82161155
2026-27542.913333
Results up to
2026-10-11
Matches used
360
Data source
Project database
Method
Full-time goals in unique completed Ligue 1 matches; no odds required.
Limitations
One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.

Sources and limitations

Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: OpenFootball and football-data.org. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.

Older archive records without a verified timezone use the end of the match date in UTC. Recent seasons use exact football-data.org timestamps. This keeps historical results out of training until their conservative availability time.

No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for Ligue 1. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.