Ligue 1 · Gameweek 8
Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Rennes 47.8%
Prediction probabilities
Rennes vs Strasbourg: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 65.7% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 66.0% in the model.
Rennes are 3rd on 13 points after 6 matches; Strasbourg are 11th on 7. In 12 Ligue 1 meetings since 2020-21, Rennes won 7, Strasbourg won 3 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 19 Apr 2026: Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes. In their last 5 league matches Rennes won 4 and Strasbourg won 2.
Home and away form
Rennes at home
5 played · 4W · 1D · 0L
Goals per match: 2.4 scored · 1.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Auxerre · 4–1 (W)
- 11 Sept 2026 · Marseille · 1–0 (W)
- 30 Aug 2026 · Le Mans · 3–2 (W)
- 23 Aug 2026 · Paris Saint-Germain · 2–2 (D)
- 10 May 2026 · Paris FC · 2–1 (W)
Strasbourg away
5 played · 2W · 0D · 3L
Goals per match: 2.0 scored · 2.2 conceded
Results in this sample
- 11 Oct 2026 · Nice · 1–2 (L)
- 19 Sept 2026 · Paris FC · 1–2 (L)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Troyes · 6–2 (W)
- 21 Aug 2026 · Marseille · 0–4 (L)
- 13 May 2026 · Brest · 2–1 (W)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65.7%Under 34.3%
- Both teams score
- 66.0%No 34.0%
- Predicted goals
- 1.91 – 1.47Total 3.38 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 23% · 15%Rennes · Strasbourg
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85.5% | 14.5% |
| 2.5 | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| 3.5 | 43.8% | 56.3% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Rennes to score 1.91 goals and Strasbourg 1.47. Its ratings have Rennes scoring at 1.28 times the model's Ligue 1 average and conceding at 0.98 times, against 1.21 and 0.99 for Strasbourg. How the model works.
Questions about Rennes vs Strasbourg
Who is the favourite in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Our model's most likely result is Rennes win at 47.8%. Full probabilities: Rennes 47.8%, draw 22.9%, Strasbourg 29.3%.
What is the most likely score in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 9.9%. The model expects 1.91 goals for Rennes and 1.47 for Strasbourg.
Will Rennes vs Strasbourg have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 65.7% and both teams to score 66.0%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,112
- Model version
- dc-v4-152b40e636ac
- Data source
- Finished Ligue 1 scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.