Ligue 1 · Gameweek 8
Angers vs Lorient Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Lorient 39.6%
Prediction probabilities
Angers vs Lorient: prediction analysis
- Under 2.5 goals: 57.5% in the model.
- Both teams to score — No: 51.3% in the model.
Angers are 12th on 7 points after 6 matches; Lorient are 8th on 8. In 8 Ligue 1 meetings since 2020-21, Angers won 3, Lorient won 3 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 15 Feb 2026: Lorient 2–0 Angers. In their last 5 league matches Angers won 2 and Lorient won 2.
Home and away form
Angers at home
5 played · 1W · 1D · 3L
Goals per match: 0.8 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Troyes · 2–0 (W)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Rennes · 1–2 (L)
- 23 Aug 2026 · Lille · 0–2 (L)
- 10 May 2026 · Strasbourg · 1–1 (D)
- 25 Apr 2026 · Paris Saint-Germain · 0–3 (L)
Lorient away
5 played · 2W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded
Results in this sample
- 19 Sept 2026 · Le Mans · 1–2 (L)
- 5 Sept 2026 · Lens · 1–0 (W)
- 22 Aug 2026 · Nice · 0–0 (D)
- 10 May 2026 · Metz · 4–0 (W)
- 2 May 2026 · Paris Saint-Germain · 2–2 (D)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42.5%Under 57.5%
- Both teams score
- 48.7%No 51.3%
- Predicted goals
- 1.11 – 1.27Total 2.38 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 28% · 33%Angers · Lorient
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 2.5 | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 3.5 | 21.7% | 78.3% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Angers to score 1.11 goals and Lorient 1.27. Its ratings have Angers scoring at 0.74 times the model's Ligue 1 average and conceding at 1.04 times, against 0.99 and 0.99 for Lorient. How the model works.
Questions about Angers vs Lorient
Who is the favourite in Angers vs Lorient?
Our model's most likely result is Lorient win at 39.6%. Full probabilities: Angers 31.7%, draw 28.7%, Lorient 39.6%.
What is the most likely score in Angers vs Lorient?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 13.6%. The model expects 1.11 goals for Angers and 1.27 for Lorient.
Will Angers vs Lorient have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 42.5% and both teams to score 48.7%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,112
- Model version
- dc-v4-152b40e636ac
- Data source
- Finished Ligue 1 scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.