La Liga · Gameweek 9
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Deportivo La Coruna 52.9%
Prediction probabilities
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 60.8% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 60.5% in the model.
Deportivo La Coruna are 8th on 10 points after 8 matches; Levante are 17th on 6. In their last 5 league matches Deportivo La Coruna won 1 and Levante won 1.
Home and away form
Deportivo La Coruna at home
4 played · 1W · 2D · 1L
Goals per match: 1.3 scored · 1.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Real Betis · 1–1 (D)
- 16 Sept 2026 · Sevilla · 0–1 (L)
- 30 Aug 2026 · Valencia · 3–1 (W)
- 17 Aug 2026 · Elche · 1–1 (D)
Levante away
5 played · 0W · 2D · 3L
Goals per match: 0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded
Results in this sample
- 20 Sept 2026 · Villarreal · 1–3 (L)
- 6 Sept 2026 · Malaga · 0–0 (D)
- 24 Aug 2026 · Osasuna · 0–0 (D)
- 16 Aug 2026 · Espanyol · 0–3 (L)
- 23 May 2026 · Real Betis · 1–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60.8%Under 39.2%
- Both teams score
- 60.5%No 39.5%
- Predicted goals
- 1.91 – 1.24Total 3.14 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 29% · 15%Deportivo La Coruna · Levante
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82.3% | 17.7% |
| 2.5 | 60.8% | 39.2% |
| 3.5 | 38.5% | 61.5% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Deportivo La Coruna to score 1.91 goals and Levante 1.24. Its ratings have Deportivo La Coruna scoring at 1.09 times the model's La Liga average and conceding at 1.03 times, against 1.07 and 1.16 for Levante. How the model works.
Questions about Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
Our model's most likely result is Deportivo La Coruna win at 52.9%. Full probabilities: Deportivo La Coruna 52.9%, draw 22.6%, Levante 24.5%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 10.3%. The model expects 1.91 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.24 for Levante.
Will Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 60.8% and both teams to score 60.5%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,358
- Model version
- dc-v4-72400b7e955d
- Data source
- Finished La Liga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.