La Liga · independent league model

La Liga Goals: Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score

Updated 14 Oct 2026, 17:03 UTC · regular-season results and model estimates

Across 458 completed matches, the average was 2.76 goals. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 51.3%; both teams scored in 57.0%.

458 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.

SeasonMatchesGoals / matchOver 2.5Both score
2025-263802.69190215
2026-27783.094546
Results up to
2026-10-12
Matches used
458
Data source
Project database
Method
Full-time goals in unique completed La Liga matches; no odds required.
Limitations
One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.

Sources and limitations

Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: OpenFootball and football-data.org. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.

Older archive records without a verified timezone use the end of the match date in UTC. Recent seasons use exact football-data.org timestamps. This keeps historical results out of training until their conservative availability time.

No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for La Liga. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.