La Liga · independent league model
Does Home Advantage Still Matter in the La Liga?
Home teams won 48.3% of 458 matches.
458 completed matches across 2025-26, 2026-27.
| Season | Matches | Home wins | Draws | Away wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 380 | 186 | 93 | 101 |
| 2026-27 | 78 | 35 | 21 | 22 |
- Results up to
- 2026-10-12
- Matches used
- 458
- Data source
- Project database
- Method
- Home win share of finished La Liga matches; no odds required.
- 95% range
- 0.437 – 0.528
- Limitations
- One published sample. This is not a betting recommendation.
Sources and limitations
Fixtures, results and provider standings: football-data.org. Completed score history since 2020-21: OpenFootball and football-data.org. Forecasts use only results available before their publication time.
Older archive records without a verified timezone use the end of the match date in UTC. Recent seasons use exact football-data.org timestamps. This keeps historical results out of training until their conservative availability time.
No verified injury or confirmed-lineup adjustment is included for La Liga. Promotion playoffs and promotion probabilities are outside this model. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Check this league's model record.