La Liga · Gameweek 6
Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction
Upcoming
Forecast published
Model: Levante 38.2%
Prediction probabilities
Levante vs Athletic Club: prediction analysis
- Over 2.5 goals: 50.0% in the model.
- Both teams to score — Yes: 54.5% in the model.
Levante are 17th on 6 points after 7 matches; Athletic Club are 10th on 8. In 6 La Liga meetings since 2020-21, Levante won 0, Athletic Club won 4 and 2 were drawn. They last met on 8 Feb 2026: Athletic Club 4–2 Levante. In their last 5 league matches Levante won 1 and Athletic Club won 2.
Home and away form
Levante at home
4 played · 2W · 1D · 1L
Goals per match: 3.0 scored · 2.3 conceded
Results in this sample
- 12 Oct 2026 · Sevilla · 3–3 (D)
- 13 Sept 2026 · Barcelona · 2–4 (L)
- 29 Aug 2026 · Real Betis · 5–2 (W)
- 17 May 2026 · Mallorca · 2–0 (W)
Athletic Club away
4 played · 1W · 0D · 3L
Goals per match: 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded
Results in this sample
- 30 Aug 2026 · Celta Vigo · 2–0 (W)
- 27 Aug 2026 · Barcelona · 0–2 (L)
- 23 May 2026 · Real Madrid · 2–4 (L)
- 13 May 2026 · Espanyol · 0–2 (L)
Sample coverage
Up to five venue-specific matches from each team's ten latest published league results, played before this forecast. Small samples do not establish a trend.
Goals and correct score
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%Under 50.0%
- Both teams score
- 54.5%No 45.5%
- Predicted goals
- 1.37 – 1.31Total 2.67 · model, not shot xG
- Clean sheet
- 27% · 25%Levante · Athletic Club
Most likely scores
All goal lines
| Total goals line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| 2.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| 3.5 | 28.0% | 72.0% |
90 minutes only. Goal probabilities have not been separately calibrated.
Form and team news
No confirmed team news is included.
The current model does not use injury-level adjustments.
Recent meetings
Full head-to-head ›Model context and limitations
The Dixon–Coles model is fitted only on finished matches and does not use injuries or lineups; it expects Levante to score 1.37 goals and Athletic Club 1.31. Its ratings have Levante scoring at 1.07 times the model's La Liga average and conceding at 1.16 times, against 1.01 and 0.85 for Athletic Club. How the model works.
Questions about Levante vs Athletic Club
Who is the favourite in Levante vs Athletic Club?
Our model's most likely result is Levante win at 38.2%. Full probabilities: Levante 38.2%, draw 26.3%, Athletic Club 35.5%.
What is the most likely score in Levante vs Athletic Club?
1–1 is the single most likely score at 12.5%. The model expects 1.37 goals for Levante and 1.31 for Athletic Club.
Will Levante vs Athletic Club have over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring?
The model gives over 2.5 goals 50.0% and both teams to score 54.5%.
Probabilities are not guarantees. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Evidence and data sources
- Results up to
- 2026-10-14
- Matches used
- 2,358
- Model version
- dc-v4-72400b7e955d
- Data source
- Finished La Liga scores
- Limitations
- The model does not use injuries or confirmed lineups.